HomeMarketsMapPortfolio$WARSHow
Live odds on the conflicts that move the world, read straight from on-chain prediction markets — plus the questions nobody else will put a number on. Will the US or the UK actually use one? There is a line on it. Browse everything without a wallet; betting needs one.
One number, built out of the live prices on this page. Nothing is weighted by hand and nothing is typed in — if the on-chain feed is down, the number is a dash.
Nuclear use, Article 5, boats at sea. House lines open at even money and move with the $WARS pool, so the first side taken sets the price.
Every Polymarket line links to its market. Price = probability. 32¢ on YES means the crowd says 32%.
Nuclear use by the US or UK. Article 5. Hormuz closed. Taiwan blockaded. Priced by the $WARS pool, opened at even money.
A winning YES at 32¢ pays $1. Positions are sized in $WARS and settle when the question resolves.
Each flare is a region with open markets. Hover for the hottest question, click to open its board.
Every slip you tried to place from this browser, with the outcome of the attempt. Nothing here was charged.
Read from Dexscreener, refreshed every minute. Anything it has no answer for stays blank.
YES at 0.32 means the market prices a 32% chance. Decimal odds = 1 / price. On-chain lines come from Polymarket's order books, live.
House questions open at 50/50. Each side's price is its share of the pool. No pool yet means the line is still at open.
Buy YES at 0.32 with 100 WARS → 312.5 shares. If YES resolves, each share pays 1 WARS.
| You stake | Side price | Shares | If right | If wrong |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 WARS | 0.32 | 312.5 | +212.5 WARS | −100 WARS |
| 100 WARS | 0.68 | 147.1 | +47.1 WARS | −100 WARS |
| 100 WARS | 0.05 | 2,000 | +1,900 WARS | −100 WARS |
Yes. Every market, odds, chart and the map are open. A wallet is needed only to place a slip.
On-chain lines resolve on Polymarket's UMA oracle. House lines resolve on the published source named in each question.
An autonomous strike-drone program referenced in US procurement reporting. The house line asks whether it is confirmed in use against Iranian targets before 2027.
It is the stake unit. Every slip is sized in it and every house pool is denominated in it.